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  • #61
    Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for September 29, 2017

    Wave summary:
    We continue to look for more upside pressure towards 1.6875, but we need a break above minor resistance at 1.6410 to get the next "GO" higher. As long as the minor resistance at 1.6410 is able to cap the upside, we should look for a minor dip to 1.6311 before turning up again.

    R3: 1.6451
    R2: 1.6410
    R1: 1.6340
    Pivot: 1.6300
    S1: 1.6278
    S2: 1.6222
    S3: 1.6200

    Trading recommendation:
    We will buy EUR again at 1.6300 or upon a break above 1.6365.

    Analysis are provided by InstaForex

    Comment


    • #62
      EUR/USD approaching major resistance, prepare to sell

      The price is approaching major resistance at 1.1841 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance) and we expect to see a strong reaction off this level to push the price down to at least 1.1728 support (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support, Elliott wave theory).

      Stochastic (34,3,1) is seeing major resistance from the 100% level and we're starting to see a nice reversal take place.

      Sell below 1.1841. Stop loss is at 1.1890. Take profit is at 1.1728.

      Analysis are provided by InstaForex

      Comment


      • #63
        Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Oct 03, 2017

        When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released, such as PPI m/m and Spanish Unemployment Change. The US will release the Economic Data, too, such as Total Vehicle Sale, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.

        TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
        Breakout BUY Level: 1.1789.
        Strong Resistance:1.1782.
        Original Resistance: 1.1771.
        Inner Sell Area: 1.1760.
        Target Inner Area: 1.1732.
        Inner Buy Area: 1.1704.
        Original Support: 1.1693.
        Strong Support: 1.1682.
        Breakout SELL Level: 1.1675.

        Analysis are provided by InstaForex

        Comment


        • #64
          Technical analysis of USD/JPY for Oct 04, 2017

          In Asia, Japan today will not release any Economic Data, but the US will release some Economic Data, such as Crude Oil Inventories, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, Final Services PMI, and ADP Non-Farm Employment Change. So, there is a probability the USD/JPY will move with medium volatility during this day.

          TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
          Resistance. 3: 113.16.
          Resistance. 2: 112.94.
          Resistance. 1: 112.72.
          Support. 1: 112.44.
          Support. 2: 112.22.
          Support. 3: 112.00.

          Analysis are provided by InstaForex

          Comment


          • #65
            Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Oct 05, 2017

            When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released, such as ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts, French 10-y Bond Auction, Spanish 10-y Bond Auction, and Retail PMI. The US will release the Economic Data, too, such as Natural Gas Storage, Factory Orders m/m, Trade Balance, Unemployment Claims, and Challenger Job Cuts y/y, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.

            TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
            Breakout BUY Level: 1.1812.
            Strong Resistance:1.1805.
            Original Resistance: 1.1794.
            Inner Sell Area: 1.1783.
            Target Inner Area: 1.1755.
            Inner Buy Area: 1.1727.
            Original Support: 1.1716.
            Strong Support: 1.1705.
            Breakout SELL Level: 1.1698.

            Analysis are provided by InstaForex

            Comment


            • #66
              Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Oct 06, 2017

              When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released, such as Italian Retail Sales m/m, French Trade Balance, French Gov Budget Balance, and German Factory Orders m/m. The US will release the Economic Data, too, such as Consumer Credit m/m, Unemployment Rate, Non-Farm Employment Change, and Average Hourly Earnings m/m, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a medium to high volatility during this day.

              TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
              Breakout BUY Level: 1.1769.
              Strong Resistance:1.1762.
              Original Resistance: 1.1751.
              Inner Sell Area: 1.1740.
              Target Inner Area: 1.1712.
              Inner Buy Area: 1.1684.
              Original Support: 1.1673.
              Strong Support: 1.1662.
              Breakout SELL Level: 1.1655.

              Analysis are provided by InstaForex

              Comment


              • #67
                EUR/USD testing strong resistance, prepare to sell

                The price has bounced up perfectly from our buying area previously and is fast approaching our profit target. We turn bearish today looking to sell below 1.11744 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance) for a push down to at least 1.1653 support (Fibonacci extension).

                Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing major resistance below 95% and we expect a corresponding reaction from this level.

                Sell below 1.1744. Stop loss is at 1.1793. Take profit is at 1.1653.

                Analysis are provided by InstaForex

                Comment


                • #68
                  Technical analysis of USD/JPY for Oct 10, 2017

                  In Asia, Japan will release the Economy Watchers Sentiment and Current Account data, and the US will release some Economic Data, such as IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism and NFIB Small Business Index. So, there is a probability the USD/JPY will move with ... volatility during this day.

                  TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
                  Resistance. 3: 113.27.
                  Resistance. 2: 113.06.
                  Resistance. 1: 112.83.
                  Support. 1: 112.55.
                  Support. 2: 112.33.
                  Support. 3: 112.12.

                  Analysis are provided by InstaForex

                  Comment


                  • #69
                    Technical analysis of NZD/USD for October 11, 2017

                    Overview:
                    The NZD/USD didn't make significant movement yesterday. There are no changes in my technical outlook. The bias remains bearish in the nearest term testing 0.7000 or higher. Immediate support is seen around 0.7087. The NZD/USD pair fell from the level of 0.7128 towards 0.7087. Now, the price is set at 0.7069 to act as a minor support. It should be noted that volatility is very high for that the NZD/USD pair is still moving between 0.7128 and 0.7040 in coming hours. Furthermore, the price has been set below the strong resistance at the levels of 0.7169 and 0.7220, which coincides with the 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level respectively. Additionally, the price is in a bearish channel now. Amid the previous events, the pair is still in a downtrend. From this point, the NZD/USD pair is continuing in a bearish trend from the new resistance of 0.7128. Thereupon, the price spot of 0.7128/0.7087 remains a significant resistance zone. Therefore, a possibility that the NZD/USD pair will have downside momentum is rather convincing and the structure of a fall does not look corrective. In order to indicate a bearish opportunity below 1.0020, sell below 0.7128 or 0.7087 with the first targets at 0.7040 and 0.7000 (support 3). However, the stop loss should be located above the level of 0.7169.

                    Analysis are provided by InstaForex

                    Comment


                    • #70
                      The political crisis in Spain does not put pressure on the euro

                      Despite the continuing tension between Spain and Catalonia, the European currency continues to strengthen its positions against the US dollar. The expected publication of the report of the Federal Reserve System since the last meeting also does not put pressure on euro buyers.

                      Today, the Prime Minister of Spain has demanded that the leader of Catalonia Carles Puigdemont gave a clearer assessment of his position and answer the question whether he declared the independence of the region or not.

                      If the Catalan leader takes this step, the Prime Minister of Spain will be fully entitled to deprive the rights of Catalonia some autonomy, which will lead to greater confrontation. This will be done with an based on article 155 of the Spanish Constitution, which allows the government to deprive the regions of certain rights of autonomy in the event of a threat to the interests of Spain.

                      Statements by the representatives of the Federal Reserve did not affect the prices of the US dollar. Today, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Charles Evans, draw the focus towards the fundamental indicators of the US economy. In his view, the current situation is good enough to start a discussion about the need to raise interest rates later this year. Evans also noted the improvement in the situation with wages, and expects that the unemployment rate in the US may drop even lower.

                      As for the technical picture of the EURUSD pair, going beyond resistance 1.1830 had a positive impact on new buyers of risky assets, which led to the further increase of the trading instrument already in the 1.1860 area with the main purpose of reaching 1.1870.

                      The growth potential of the euro may be limited by the Fed's minutes, which will be published tonight.

                      Prices of oil fell after the release of the OPEC report, which noted an increase in production levels.

                      According to the data, the cartel's production in September this year increased to 32.75 million barrels per day. OPEC expects oil demand to grow by 1.5 million barrels per day by 2017 fiscal year, as well as 1.4 million barrels a day in 2018.

                      The cartel also increased the estimate of the world supply of oil in September to 96.5 million barrels per day. Total oil reserves in OECD countries in August 2017 were 171 million barrels, above the five-year average level.

                      As for the technical picture of oil, only a breakthrough of the level of 51.30 on the WTI mark can lead to a larger upward movement with a test of the monthly highs around 52.80. If buyers can not get hold of the level of 51 US dollars, a downward correction may lead to the updating of the lower limit of 49.40.

                      Analysis are provided by InstaForex

                      Comment


                      • #71
                        Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Oct 13, 2017

                        When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released, such as German Final CPI m/m. The US will release the Economic Data, too, such as Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations, Business Inventories m/m, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Retail Sales m/m, Core Retail Sales m/m, Core CPI m/m, and CPI m/m, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.

                        TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
                        Breakout BUY Level: 1.1886.
                        Strong Resistance:1.1879.
                        Original Resistance: 1.1868.
                        Inner Sell Area: 1.1857.
                        Target Inner Area: 1.1829.
                        Inner Buy Area: 1.1801.
                        Original Support: 1.1790.
                        Strong Support: 1.1779.
                        Breakout SELL Level: 1.1772.

                        Analysis are provided by InstaForex

                        Comment


                        • #72
                          Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Oct 16, 2017

                          When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released, such as Trade Balance and German WPI m/m. The US will release the Economic Data, too, such as Federal Budget Balance and Empire State Manufacturing Index, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.

                          TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
                          Breakout BUY Level: 1.1870.
                          Strong Resistance:1.1863.
                          Original Resistance: 1.1852.
                          Inner Sell Area: 1.1841.
                          Target Inner Area: 1.1813.
                          Inner Buy Area: 1.1785.
                          Original Support: 1.1774.
                          Strong Support: 1.1763.
                          Breakout SELL Level: 1.1756.

                          Analysis are provided by InstaForex

                          Comment


                          • #73
                            The export of the eurozone is in order

                            The euro managed to return a number of positions in relation to the US dollar after the release of good data on the growth of exports of goods from the eurozone in August this year. The absence of other important macroeconomic statistics forced large investors to refrain from further buying the US dollar after Friday's fluctuations.

                            According to the Eurostat report, eurozone exports in August increased by 2.5% compared to July, while imports increased by only 0.4%. The positive balance of foreign trade in goods in the eurozone in August 2017 amounted to 21.6 billion euros, against the 17.9 billion euros in July.

                            After such data, it can be concluded that the sharp increase in the European currency in the first half did not significantly affect the export sector, which will positively affect the overall indicator of the eurozone economy in 2017.

                            Good data on the growth of production activity in the area of responsibility of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York did not provide significant support to the US dollar in the afternoon. According to the report of the Fed-New York, the production index in October 2017 increased by 5.8 points, to 30.2 points. Forty-four percent of respondents said about improvement of conditions, while 14% of respondents said that conditions worsened. Economists had expected the index to be 20 points.

                            As for the technical picture of the EURUSD pair, only a break and consolidation above the level of 1.1830 could lead to the return of the trading instrument to the area of monthly highs, which will allow us to count on continuing the upward trend in risky assets in order to update the levels of 1.1900 and 1.1950. For the time being, the trade is in the level of 1.1800. The pressure on the European currency will continue to be maintained, which will allow the sellers of risky assets to expect the continued decline of EURUSD already in the region of monthly lows in the range of 1.1690 and for their renewal in the 1.1630 and 1.1600 areas.

                            Today it also became known that the budget surplus of Greece has grown. According to the Ministry of Finance of the country, over the past 9 months of this year, the budget surplus of Greece amounted to 4.54 billion euros. However, it was not possible to reach the target level due to a reduction in tax revenues. According to the Ministry of Finance, budget revenues from January to September amounted to 36 billion euros, which is below the target level of 2.4 billion euros.

                            Analysis are provided by InstaForex

                            Comment


                            • #74
                              Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Oct 18, 2017

                              When the European market opens, some Economic Data will be released, such as German 30-y Bond Auction. The US will release the Economic Data, too, such as Beige Book, Crude Oil Inventories, Housing Starts, and Building Permits, so, amid the reports, EUR/USD will move in a low to medium volatility during this day.

                              TODAY'S TECHNICAL LEVEL:
                              Breakout BUY Level: 1.1826.
                              Strong Resistance:1.1819.
                              Original Resistance: 1.1808.
                              Inner Sell Area: 1.1797.
                              Target Inner Area: 1.1769.
                              Inner Buy Area: 1.1741.
                              Original Support: 1.1730.
                              Strong Support: 1.1719.
                              Breakout SELL Level: 1.1712.

                              Analysis are provided by InstaForex

                              Comment

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